I went 9 for 11 last year. This time around I'm trying to pull off a decent score in 15 categories. Here are the movies, performances etc. that I think are going to win tonight but first you should watch the following. It is hilarious. Especially the part when Planview asks Juno if she's speaking English.
Best Picture - Juno. I'm guessing that There Will Be Blood and No Country For Old Men, both infinitely better movies, are going to split the vote.
Best Actor - Daniel Day Lewis is a shoe-in. I hope he brings a milkshake on stage with him when he accepts his Oscar.
Best Actress - Ellen Page, mostly because no one saw the other performances in this category. Seriously, did more than ten people pay to see The Savages?
Best Supporting Actor - Javier Bardem, friend-o.
Best Supporting Actress - Cate Blanchett. She pulled off a better impression of Bob Dylan than everyone else in I'm Not There and she didn't even bother to cut her nails for the role.
Best Animated Film - Persepolis. There's no way that movies about a talking rat and penguins that surf are going to beat the tender, coming-of-age tale of an Iranian girl accepting her heritage against the backdrop of a civil war or two. Also: where's The Simpsons Movie? Does the Academy really think Surf's Up deserves a nomination instead?
Achievement in Art Direction - Sweeny Todd, if only for the dream sequence.
Achievement in Cinematography - There Will Be Blood, if only for the flaming oil well scene.
Best Director - The Coen Brothers because they're long overdue for it.
Best Documentary - Taxi to the Dark Side because no one saw Sicko either.
Best Foreign Language Film - Mongol. Honestly, it's the only title I recognize this year.
Best Original Score - Atonement because it's gotta win something.
Best Original Song - "Falling Slowly." A complete shot in the dark. And what's the deal with three songs from Enchanted getting nominations? Were there really that few original songs in 2007?
Best Adapted Screenplay - There Will Be Blood, if only because the Cohen Brothers had to put so little effort into adapting No Country.
Best Original Screenplay - Juno because who doesn't want to see an ex-stripper win an Oscar?
UPDATE: 10 for 15 isn't so bad but I've done better. I was really convinced Juno was going to upset in the Best Picture category.
